NFL Picks
Super Bowl Odds
When: Sunday, February 2, 6:30 PM EST
Where: Miami, FL
Who: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs
Super Bowl Line: Chiefs -1.5 Over/Under 54
NFL Odds:
After 17 grueling weeks of NFL football, and 3 weeks of NFL Playoffs, the 2 best teams have been decided. Super Bowl LIV will feature the San Francisco 49ers of the NFC vs the Kansas City Chiefs of the AFC.
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Both teams looked strong during the Conference Championships. The Niners, led by Raheem Mostert‘s 220 rushing yards and 4 TD’s, trounced the Green Bay Packers 37-20 in a game that was seemingly over by halftime. Most noteworthy, Mostert easily exceeded the prop bet of 50 yards in this game.
Furthermore, QB Jimmy Garoppolo only had to through the ball 8 times in this game – completed 6 of those passes for 77 yards. Depending on the game flow of Super Bowl LIV, the 49ers (15-3 straight up, 11-6-1 ATS) and Garoppolo will more than likely have to complete more passes for the 49ers to stay competitive against the Chiefs.
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Super Bowl Prop Bets
The Kansas City Chiefs (14-4 straight up, 12-5-1 ATS) made it to their first Super Bowl in 50 years by defeating the Tennessee Titan 35-24. QB Patrick Mahomes was on fire against the Titans, throwing for 294 yards and 3 TD’s. Mahomes completed passes to 8 different receivers. WR Sammy Watkins had a huge game hauling in 7 catches for 114 yards and 1 TD.
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Super Bowl Pick:
After watching what Patrick Mahomes has been able to do the past few weeks – making double digit leads evaporate with a few magical plays, I’m tempted to ride the wave and pick the Chiefs. However, the 49ers defense is playing the best they’ve played all year, and if they get a lead, I don’t see them allowing the Chiefs to mount a comeback in this game like they were able to the past 2 games.
Take the 49ers on the money line to win this one outright!
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New England Patriots 2019 Season NFL Betting Guide
NFL Betting News
At this point of their combined future Hall of Fame careers, anything less than winning a Super Bowl title is unacceptable for superstar quarterback Tom Brady and widely-revered head coach Bill Belichick. You see, with an unprecedented six Super Bowl titles in hand, including last season’s Super Bowl 53 title, the New England Patriots are playing for championships and nothing less.
NFL Betting Guide and All NFL Odds Here
Whether New England reaches their fourth straight Super Bowl or whether they come up short in their quest for league-wide dominance, as always, there are a bunch of things you need to know about the Patriots before they take to the gridiron for the upcoming 2019 NFL regular season. Let’s find out what you need to know about the perennially-powerful AFC East Super Bowl hopefuls.
Betting Statistics
ATS: 11-5 (W-L) / 9-7-0 (ATS) / 6-2-0 (Home) / 3-5-0 (Away) / 1-4-0 (Grass) / 8-3-0 (Turf)
O/U: 5-11-0 (W-L) / 2-6-0 (Home) / 3-5-0 (Away) / 3-2-0 (Grass) / 2-9-0 (Turf) / 47.6
Not only did the Patriots win 11 games last season, but they also narrowly recorded a winning ATS mark by covering the chalk six times in eight home contests and three times on the road. New England’s underrated defense also helped them play Under the O/U total a whopping 11 times including six times at home and five on the road.
Offense
Total Yards: 393.4 / Rank 5
Passing Yards: 266.1 / Rank 8
Rushing Yards: 127.3 /Rank 5
Points Scored: 27.2 / Rank 4
Field Goal %: 84.4 / Rank 16
NFL Betting Guide and All NFL Odds Here
New England also drafted Arizona State wide receiver N’Keal Harry with the final pick in the first round before adding Alabama running back Damien Harris and West Virginia tackle Yodny Cajuste, both, in the third round. New England also drafted quarterback Jarrett Stidham in the fourth round in the hopes that he could potentially take over for Brady – if he ever retires that is.Despite their lack of big name players besides Tom Brady, New England closed out the 2018 regular season ranked a stellar fifth in total offense, eighth in passing, fifth in rushing and fourth in scoring (27.2 ppg). To address their needs on the offensive side of the ball, the Patriots signed veteran wide receiver Phillip Dorsett, running back Branden Bolden, wide receivers Maurice Harris and Bruce Ellington and tight end Matt LaCosse in free agency.
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Will the Eagles dominate again in 2018?
The defending Super Bowl Champions – Philadelphia Eagles are -155 favorites for most online sportsbooks to win back-to-back division titles for the first time since 2004.
Here is a breakdown of each NFC East team’s chance to win the division:
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
ODDS TO WIN NFC EAST -155
Typically, when a team wins a Super Bowl, the chances of retaining that roster can be a challenge due to salary cap restrictions or players looking to cash in after a successful year. The Eagles are not dealing with such challenges. Instead of losing key players, they added former defensive Pro Bowlers Michael Bennett and Haloti Ngata to an already dominant defense. The Eagles were third in points per game and fourth in points allowed last season, making them the only team in the NFL to rank in the top five in both categories. Can the Eagles stay healthy and prove the -155 odds are not far fetched?
DALLAS COWBOYS
ODDS TO WIN NFC EAST +375
America’s team is coming off a frustrating season. Their stud running back Ezekiel Elliott was suspended for six games and Dez Bryant didn’t ever seem to be 100% healthy. Bryant has moved on, and Elliott seems poised to have another big year. With one of the toughest schedules this year in the NFL – the Cowboys will face 13 teams that finished with a winning record. If Dak Prescott can gel with this year’s receivers, the Cowboys could be worth taking a flier on at +375
NEW YORK GIANTS
ODDS TO WIN NFC EAST +500
The Giants can only improve after a dismal 2017 season. The Giants running game got a significant boost with No. 2 overall pick Saquon Barkley. At +500, the value is decent as the Giants are looking to win the division for the first time since 2011.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS
ODDS TO WIN NFC EAST +750
Exit Quarterback Kirk Cousins. Enter Alex Smith. Smith is a solid game manager that typically produces winning records. He has enough tools around him to be successful – including the recent addition of Running Back Adrian Peterson. The question will be the Redskins defense – who allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL last year. At +750, the Skins might be worth taking a flier on at online sportsbooks.
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NFL Week 5 Best Bets
Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5, 45) — 1 p.m. ET
In their seven games starting at 1 p.m. ET over the past two seasons, the Cardinals are 0-7 ATS.
The over is 11-1 in the Cardinals’ past 12 road games.
Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals (-3, 39.5) — 1 p.m. ET
The Bills are one of two teams to start 4-0 ATS this season (the other is the Kansas City Chiefs), having won outright in two of their three games as an underdog.
The Bills are 11-3 ATS in their past 14 games against the Bengals.
Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants (-3.5, 45) — 1 p.m. ET
The Chargers are 0-8-1 ATS during their current nine-game losing streak.
New York Jets at Cleveland Browns (PK, 39.5) — 1 p.m. ET
The total has gone under in seven straight and 11 of the Browns’ past 13 home games.
The Jets are 2-7 ATS in their past nine road games, including an 0-2 record this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (-8, 42.5) — 1 p.m. ET
The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS with three outright wins as an underdog since Doug Marrone took over as head coach in Week 16 of last season.
San Francisco 49ers at Indianapolis Colts (-1.5, 44.5) — 1 p.m. ET
The Colts are 25-12 ATS against teams with a losing record under Chuck Pagano.
Tennessee Titans (-3, 43.5) at Miami Dolphins — 1 p.m. ET
The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS with four outright wins in their past five games as a home underdog.
The Titans are 6-23 ATS and 8-21 SU in their past 29 games against teams with a losing record.
Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (-2.5, 43) — 1 p.m. ET
The Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS in their past 10 regular-season games following a straight up win.
The under is 11-4 in the Lions’ past 15 games.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (PK, 46) — 4:05 p.m. ET
The under is 11-3 in the 14 games between these two teams since Pete Carroll took over as the Seahawks’ head coach.
The home team is 9-2 ATS in the past 11 meetings between these teams. This includes a 5-0 ATS mark for the Rams at home during this span.
Baltimore Ravens at Oakland Raiders (-2.5, 39) — 4:05 p.m. ET
The Raiders are 0-6 ATS and 0-6 SU in their past six games without Derek Carr.
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys (-2, 53) — 4:25 p.m. ET
The Packers have won outright in each of their past three games as an underdog against the Cowboys.
Teams that played on Thursday night are 6-0 ATS in their next game after the extra rest this season (The Packers played the Chicago Bears on Thursday night in Week 4).
The over is 14-3 in the Packers’ past 17 games.
Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans (PK, 45.5) — 8:30 p.m. ET
The Chiefs are 8-0 ATS and 8-0 SU in their past eight road games.
Minnesota Vikings (-2.5, 40.5) at Chicago Bears — Monday at 8:30 p.m. ET
The Bears are 12-4 ATS and 14-2 SU in their past 16 home games against the Vikings. This includes a 6-1 ATS mark with six outright wins in their seven games as a home underdog to Minnesota during that span.
Case Keenum is 1-7 ATS with six outright losses in eight career starts when his team is favored.