NFL Picks
Houston Texans (4-5) vs Cleveland Browns (6-3) – Free NFL Picks for Week 11 11/16/2014
Latest Odds: Cleveland -3.5 Over/Under 41.5
This won’t be the most exciting matchup to watch, but hey, you’re not looking for entertainment value are you? You’re looking for a winner…right? QB Brian Hoyer has settled in and keeps finding ways to win. Not really from an overpowering offense, but mainly from the help of the Brown’s defense. RB’s Terrance West and Ben Tate will continue to pound the ball on the ground and eat up time of possession.
QB Ryan Mallet makes his NFL starting debut in this game. Although he had success in college, we have seen there is a learning curve for young QB’s in the NFL. The Texans only chance in this game is if RB Arian Foster can break off a few long TD runs and their defense can get a pick 6 (or 2).
Recent Betting Trends:
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Browns are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Free Betting Pick: Cleveland Browns -3.5
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Seattle Seahawks (6-3) vs Kansas City Chiefs (6-3) – Free NFL Picks for Week 11 11/16/2014
Latest Odds: Kansas City -1.5 Over/Under 44
It’s not rocket science on this one. Two stingy defenses and two offenses that have been inconsistent all season. I see a low scoring game here.
Recent Betting Trends:
Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games overall.
Free Betting Pick: Under 44 pts.
⇒ Updated lines and more games to choose from here
Miami Dolphins (5-3) vs Detroit Lions (6-2) – Free NFL Picks for Week 10 – 11/9/2014
Latest Odds: Detroit Lions -2.5 Over/Under 43.5
The Miami Dolphins are hot! They have won 3 in a row, including last week’s beat down of the San Diego Chargers 37-0. A big part of the Dolphins success has been due to their rushing game. They are averaging 137 yds per game led by RB Lamar Miller’s 4.9 yds per carry. The Lions, however, are only allowing 79 yds game rushing. So we’ll see if the Dolphins can continue to dominate the line of scrimmage and count on their rushing game, or have to depend on QB Ryan Tannehill’s arm this week.
The Detroit Lions are coming off a bye week – which they needed to get some of their studs healthy. Averaging only 259 yds a game passing, QB Matthew Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson need to get on track to help keep the Lions in the playoff hunt. The Lions are at home, and their defense is only allowing 15.8 pts per game.
Recent Betting Trends:
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami’s last 15 games
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit’s last 7 games
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Free Betting Pick: Lions -2.5
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Kansas City Chiefs (5-3) vs Buffalo Bills (5-3) – Free NFL Picks Week 10 – 11/9/2014
Latest Odds: Chiefs -1.5 Over/Under 41
QB E.J. Manuel out. Insert QB Kyle Orton. So far…so good. Right? WR Sammy Watkins seems to think so. Sammy has had a few monster games with Orton taking over as QB. The Buffalo Bills have been an unexpected surprise to their AFC East rivals and a nice surprise for their fans. The question remains…Can their offense continue to put up points without RB’s Jackson and Spiller?
The Kansas City Chiefs have been an up and down team so far this year. “Up” mainly at home. “Down”…well, you know the rest. The Chiefs are not flashy, but they have a solid running game and seem to get the job done when needed. They need to find ways to win on the road, however, if they want to keep pace with their Division Rivals Denver Broncos.
Recent Betting Trends:
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games
Kansas City is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo’s last 8 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games at home
Free Betting Pick: Under 41
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New York Jets (1-7) vs Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) 11/2/2014 – Free NFL Picks for Week 9
Latest Odds: Chiefs -9.5 Over/Under 42
The Jets are hoping the month of November is more kind than their winless month of October. The Jets were shredded at home last week by the Bills 43-23 due in large part to 6 turnovers. Is backup QB Michael Vick the answer? We shall see.
The Chiefs, on the other hand are riding momentum, winning 4 of their last 5 games. A solid 34-7 win at home against the Rams last week should give the Chiefs confidence going forward. RB Jamaal Charles had a nice 2-TD game and the Chiefs defense was able to sack QB Austin Davis 7 times.
Recent Betting Trends:
NY Jets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
NY Jets are 2-4-2 ATS in their last 8 games on the road.
Kansas City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the NY Jets last 10 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Kansas City’s last 25 games at home.
Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -9.5
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San Diego Chargers (5-3) vs Miami Dolphins (4-3) 11/2/2014 – Free NFL Picks for Week 9
Latest Odds: Dolphins -1.5 Over/Under 44
The high powered Chargers offense travels to Miami hoping to rebound from their 35-21 loss at Denver last Thursday night. QB Phillip Rivers had 3 TD passes, however, his 2 interceptions were costly turnovers the Chargers couldn’t overcome. Their running game has also been stagnant the past few games. RB Brandon Oliver needs to get back on track against a tough Miami run defense.
The Miami Dolphins return home after 2 solid wins in Chicago and Jacksonville. QB Ryan Tannehill needs a big game if the Dolphins expect to keep up with the Chargers. Miami’s defense should help keep them in this game.
Recent Betting Trends:
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
San Diego is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami.
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.
Free Betting Pick: Miami Dolphins -1.5
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Detroit Lions (5-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-5) 10/26/2014 – Free NFL Picks for Week 8
Latest Odds: Detroit -4 Over/Under 47
Entering the season, both of these teams were expected to light up scoreboards with their high powered offenses. Unfortunately, for the most part, both teams have struggled offensively. For Detroit, the absence of WR Calvin Johnson (not feeling 100%) has really affected QB Matthew Stafford and the Lions offense from putting points on the board. Luckily, their defense has been stellar and a major reason for their 5-2 records.
QB Matt Ryan is having another inconsistent year – largely due to being under pressure every time he drops back to throw. WR’s Julio Jones and Roddy White are extremely talented and need to be more involved if the Falcons want to make a run for the playoffs.
I believe both offenses continue to struggle to put points on the board in this game.
Recent Betting Trends:
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games in October.
Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games in Week 8.
Free Betting Pick: Under 47 points
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St. Louis Rams (2-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-3) – Free NFL Picks for Week 8
Latest Odds: Kansas City -7 Over/Under 44
The Rams are riding high following an upset win at home last week versus the Seahawks 28-26. Backup QB Austin Davis has been playing well and Backup RB Tre Mason had his breakout game last week. Will the momentum continue on the road this week at Arrowhead Stadium?
The Chiefs are also coming off an upset victory against their AFC West rivals the Chargers. Jamaal Charles and the Chiefs are a difficult opponent at home. I expect them to run all over the Rams and control ball and field possession.
Recent Betting Trends:
Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 8-1 in Rams last 9 games in October.
Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -7
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New York Jets (1-5) vs New England Patriots (4-2)
Current Odds: New England -10 Over/Under 45
The New York Jets put up a good fight against a formidable Denver team last week, but came up just short. Questionable coaching calls, QB injuries and turnovers have proved to be too much to overcome for the Jets so far this season. Now they head to New England to take on a Patriot team that seems to be playing with confidence after they were questioned by the media and their fans just 2 short weeks ago. New England is coming off of impressive back to back wins over the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals.
New England’s top RB Stevan Ridley went down last week and is likely out for the season. Shane Vereen and Brandon Bolden will step in to try and help the Pats continue their winning momentum.
Tom Brady is getting comfortable with his WR’s and TE Rob Gronkowski, and will look to take advantage of a weak Jets secondary. A healthy Gronkowski gives Brady the confidence of knowing his check down receiver will most likely be open.
10 points is a large spread. New England seems to be clicking right now and should win the game, but the Jets will keep it close.
Free Pick: Jets +10
Minnesota Vikings (2-4) vs Buffalo Bills (3-3)
Current Odds: Buffalo -4 Over/Under 43
The Minnesota Vikings have not looked good the past few games. A 17-3 home loss last week to the Detroit Lions was riddled with turnovers. Can rookie QB Teddy Bridewater bounce back with a better effort this weekend?
The Buffalo Bills are also coming off a loss to their AFC East rivals, the New England Patriots. Three second quarter turnovers by Buffalo led to 13 New England points and proved to be too much for the Bills to overcome. Kyle Orton looks to better his performance against an inconsistent Vikings defense.
Recent Betting Trends:
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Minnesota is 1-10-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 6 games.
Free Pick: Buffalo Bills -4
