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NFL Picks for Week 3

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

The Green Bay Packers will head into Ford Field to take on their division rivals, the Detroit Lions.  The Packers have started the season 1-1.  After an embarrassing 36-16 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, the Packers bounced back with a 31-24 win over the New York Jets.  The Lions are also 1-1, but they are coming off of a 24-7 thumping from the Carolina Panthers.

Detroit is breathing a sigh of relief this week as they get away from the dominant Panther defense.  The Packers will have no answer for Calvin Johnson and his big play ability will be too much for Green Bay to overcome.  The Packers offense will match the Lions score for score early, but the Lions defensive front four will ultimately be too much to handle for Green Bay’s offensive line and Rodgers will be rushed and inconsistent down the stretch.

Recent Betting Trends:

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 road games.

Free Betting Pick:  Detroit Lions  -2

 

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins

While it is only week 3, it is almost a must-win for the Chiefs who sit at 0-2.  Their offense is currently averaging only 13.5 points per game, which is 8 points less than the Dolphins are scoring, and the Dolphins are at home.  Injuries have derailed the Chiefs season before it even got underway. This Chiefs team was only going to go as far as superstar RB Jamal Charles could carry them.  He is out for at least this week.  The Dolphins had a terrible defensive performance last week and the offense wasn’t much better.  Look for big turnaround in week 3 at home.

Recent Betting Trends:

Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.

Under is 6-0 in Chiefs last 6 games in September.

Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games overall.

Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.

Free Betting Pick:   Miami Dolphins  -4.5